Closer still

Below is some idle speculation on how many MPs are likely to vote for and against gay marriage. But why waste your time on my uninformed prattle? (Possibly a question of more general relevance. - ed.) The folks who follow this for real make it even closer than I'd guessed. Marriage Vote.ca, on the pro side, has been keeping a running tally. It now has 155 MPs either certain or likely to vote for gay marriage (that is, against reversing last year's decision), to 153 against. Two votes. Meanwhile, the confusingly similarly-named Vote Marriage Canada, representing the antis (if not the aunties, or possibly just the antsy), are crowing that "almost 60% of candidates endorsed by Vote Marriage Canada were elected or re-elected as Members of Parliament."